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Thursday, 8 January 2026
A Series of Conservative Articles for Jan 2026
Wednesday, 7 January 2026
An open letter to the Prime Minister: Please tell the truth about our energy bills
An open letter to the Prime Minister: Please tell the truth about our energy bills
Dear Sir Keir,
On Monday, on the BBC in an interview with Laura Kuenssberg, you attributed our high energy costs on the Ukraine war, despite the fact that EU countries were also affected but their electricity costs are generally lower than ours.
Surely you know that i) the premature destruction of coal-fired power stations – before affordable alternatives were in place – left the UK over-exposed to gas to generate 40 per cent of its electricity, compared with less than 20 per cent for most EU countries; ii) that green levies represent around 30 per cent of electricity bills; iii) that our 2030 net zero targets are far out of line with those of the EU.
Many continue to make the false claim that the sooner we get most of our electricity from renewables the better, because it will be cheaper. That is wrong, not least because solar and wind intensity can be negligible for two or three weeks a year, when conventional power generation plant must be available to keep the lights on. Conventional power plant does not need such back-up.
Try adding the capital, operation, maintenance and replacement cost of that back-up power plant to that of solar and wind to get the correct total. At around £5billion per GW, that would incur a further £200billion of capital. But there is no one in your government who is willing or able to confront the false narrative. So here are some facts that you should feed to Mr Miliband.
In September 2024 a Department for Energy Security and Net Zero (DESNZ) minister said that bill-payers ‘are to spend between £100 and £150 per household on new wind turbines’. But the capital cost of wind capacity would be well over £200billion. That equates to more than £7,000 per household, ie around £700 per household per year over ten years, plus the cost of subsidies. That needs to be challenged.
So far this century, more than £200billion has been paid out (more than £6,000 per household) in green levies to promote solar and wind energy. Any further efficacy improvements will be marginal, and throwing further subsidies at the technology is not likely to improve Capacity Factors (CFs) much further. It will just drive even more UK industry to the likes of China, thereby accelerating global emissions.
Indeed projected wind turbine Capacity Factors have recently been revised from 61 per cent to 43.6 per cent for offshore – and from 48.7 per cent to 33.4 per cent for onshore wind farms. As a result the energy delivered by the 86 and 36 GW of UK wind farms planned for 2035 will be around 30 per cent less than expected, down from 611 to 433TWh. (The CF is a measure of the average power produced in GW divided by the rated power.)
Assuming an average cost of 25p per kWh, the value of the shortfall of around 180TWh, is around £45billion pa, ie about £1,500 per household.
That shortfall could be plugged by an extra 20 & 35 GW of off/onshore wind farm capacity – at £2.7billion and £1.5billion per GW – totalling around £110billion more in capital cost, i.e. well over £3,000 per household.
Added to that is the cost of 3,000 miles of vulnerable offshore submarine cable connections, plus 600 miles of HV overhead lines and substation costs, which together will add more than £10billion to the capital cost of wind farms.
That neglects the extra transmission power losses and the eye-watering subsidies, which have been rising year on year, now comprising around 30 per cent of electricity costs.
Of course wind farms are not maintenance-free and assuming £50m/GW pa, the Operation and Maintenance (O and M) cost for 135GW of wind capacity the O and M cost equates to more than £6billion pa.
The wind turbines have to be replaced at intervals of around 20 years (gearboxes more often) and their energy output will never be free. You will also need to grasp the causes of the Iberian power failure to ensure that our grid is not left unfit for purpose by ideological forces.
In case you missed it, the capital plus the O and M cost of the back-up power capacity will need to be added to the cost of wind and solar in any cost comparison.
Roger J Arthur, CEng, MIEE, MIET
Neil Oliver: This is MY land!
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Tuesday, 6 January 2026
TCW Daily News Articles
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The UK Will It All Go Bang in 2026?
Will It All Go Bang in 2026?
Immigration Violence Outlook - Hard Truths Need Telling
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After two summers which saw considerable unrest over illegal immigration and immigrant crime, do communities in Britain, Ireland and Northern Ireland face more of the same this year?
The brutal murder of three little girls at a dance class in Southport on July 29, 2024 led to the largest outburst of British nativist anger over immigration since the wave of race riots in UK ports in 1919 which led to the large-scale repatriation of many of the non-white men who had entered the country during the First World War.
Two years ago, it was lies by politicians and media outlets - which tried to pass off the Rwandan knifeman as a “Welsh choirboy” – which sparked angry scenes across England and Northern Ireland in 27 towns. Rioters attacked hotels housing asylum seekers, resulting in nearly 400 arrests and injuries to over 100 police officers.
Tensions flared again last year, with several waves of huge demonstrations by local residents in many places against plans to house illegal immigrants and bogus asylum-seekers in hotels and military bases.
Aggressive policing and attacks by far-left counter-demonstrators led to a number of clashes, while government crackdowns included swift and harsh sentences and even more social media restrictions for dissenters.
Across the Irish Sea, things have gone even further. Riots erupted in the loyalist town of Ballymena in June 2025. Three nights of violence during saw several thousand local residents forcibly expelled hundreds of Roma migrants and fought running battles with the police.
Meanwhile, In the Republic of Ireland, 2025 saw public anger over the housing of illegal migrants in working class areas, and subsequent sexual assaults and violence against locals. Scores of big demonstrations showed the scale of public anger, with Dublin torn by dramatic riots which included the burning of buses and masked men on horses charging police lines in retaliation for Gard attacks on women and old men.
Will It All Go Bang?
So what is the outlook for this year? The underlying problems remain the same: Illegal migrants continue to pour in and the governments in Britain and Ireland continue to moll
ycoddle them with taxpayers’ money, while left-wing activist judges rule in their favour at every opportunity. And, every day or so, one of them victimises a native.
Public anger continues to rise, with the Labour regime’s simmering financial crisis threatening a lurch into real austerity, rapidly rising unemployment and even more resentment against badly-behaved freeloaders.
Britain and Ireland are both now pressure-cookers of anti-immigrant anger, with censorship and persecution of those who speak out only adding to the possibility of an explosion which will dwarf the trouble seen over the last two years.
On both sides of the Irish Sea, working class communities have already displayed their loss of faith in the authorities and willingness to take the law into their own hands when it comes to putting out white paedophiles from their estates. Why would anyone expect anything different to happen when their children are targeted by recently arrived predators?
Starmer’s announcement that new asylum-seekers are to be ‘dispersed’ over more areas means that the problem will only spread further. Having them living in threes or fours in individual houses, rather than in larger groups in hotels will not in any way reduce popular resentment over housing shortages. It will merely make it much harder for the police to protect those who provoke local people.
The growing number of voices warning that “Britain faces civil war” are – for now at least – drastically overstating the instability. But more violent protests against recently-arrived illegal migrants are surely inevitable.
Ireland First?
Giving the tradition of violent mass action on both sides of the old sectarian divide on the island of Ireland, the most likely trigger for a full-scale explosion is that the disorders there will spread and intensify. Indeed, it is entirely foreseeable that attacks on unwelcome and badly-behaved migrants could engulf the whole of Ireland. With free movement across both the border and the Irish Sea, this could see tens of thousands of extra asylum-seekers suddenly pouring into England.
The sight of this exodus would also spell out a lesson which the Irish already know to angry communities on the mainland: A militant minority can change things without active majority support, and without needing politicians to accept their demands. All it takes is for them to be pushed far enough to stop expecting anyone else to help them, and take action themselves.
It is rather harder to answer the question of whether such pressure will only be applied against recent asylum-seekers who commit crimes, against all of the newcomers regardless of guilt or innocence, or whether the trouble spirals out of control to become communal violence involving established immigrant communities as well.
If nativist mobs end up clashing with well-organised gangs of Muslim men, not even the army would have the capacity to impose law and order in more than a handful of places at once. At that point, the predicted civil war would start to look a lot less unlikely.
That might not happen, not least because a large number of long-term immigrants are as sick as any real Brits of the sponging criminals being imposed on the country by the political elite. The Muslim community are also well aware that a lot of the tension is being fanned by Zionist shills, and are accordingly restrained at present.
Conversely, there is huge scope for mayhem in the suspicion and hatred that so many otherwise unremarkable Brits now have towards Muslims, and the corresponding insecurity and hostility of the other side.
“Falling Apart”
Writing at the start of 2026, “going bang” still looks unlikely. More probable is a continuation of the less dramatic “falling apart” of the different communities, with ethnic cleansing and consolidation being done by piecemeal voluntary segregation rather than by violence. The long-term trajectory, however, remains the same – the open collapse of even the pretence that ‘diversity is our strength’ and that the ‘multi-racial experiment’ has built a ‘vibrant’ multi-cultural Heaven on Earth.
Looking past the question when it will, indeed, “all go bang”, we come to the even more important one: What will happen then?
It certainly won’t be ‘remigration’, despite continued excitement in some circles about Rupert Lowe’s policy paper, “Mass Deportations: Legitimacy, Legality, and Logistics”.
In his foreword, Lowe writes of the plan: “It would involve effectively abolishing the asylum system. It would mean working to remove from Britain every single illegal immigrant, to be achieved through a mixed approach that combines a hostile environment with voluntary returns and forced deportations. It would require eliminating the threat of politicised lawfare with game changing reforms to the judiciary.”
It would also require an army and auxiliary civilian force big and well-equipped enough to win a civil war, in which the whole of the “international Community” and all sorts of home-grown forces would side with the immigrants. For all the detail in the document, there is not a single word about how the state would keep power and actually carry through the promise of ‘force’. But let’s say no more about that for now.
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The plan, to be fair, does go into costings - £40 Billion or so – and that would be a sum worth paying, if it was actually going to solve the problem, but it’s not.
For a start, it could only be put into operation by a government, and Restore Britain is not going to form a government. Reform UK might do in three years’ time. And, after they fail, then 15 years from now Advance UK might. But Restore Britain has zero chance of coming to power in Britain. This is a policy paper designed to open wallets and get a few more members, not to save the country.
But let’s pretend none of that is true. Look again at what Lowe himself says:
“……working to remove from Britain every single illegal immigrant”.
Now, if it did by some miracle happen, that would be a huge improvement on where we are now.
It would make places like Great Yarmouth, Bournemouth, Workington and Peterhead noticeably whiter – like they were three or four years ago. But that’s it. You wouldn’t even notice the difference in East London, Birmingham or Bradford. Because, despite all the lies of the civnats, the demographic problem isn’t illegal immigration, it’s non-white immigration. Full stop.
It would reduce public concern, as safety valve stunts always do. But the banks, big business and the politicians would insist on continuing the inward flow of “legal migrants”, because capitalism demands them (as do the property values of bourgeois Britain, for that matter).
IF Lowe’s plan deported every last one of its targets, that would still only return Britain’s immigrant mumbers to where they were just two years ago. Assuming that no ‘legals’ were allowed in while it was going on.
Since Lowe will never be in power, let’s pretend further that Farage decides to break with his BBC sponsors and promise it instead.
Reform’s “zero net migration policy” (another System safety valve hoax) would let in 100,000 per year to make up for Britain’s surplus of deaths over births. Plus at least 250,000 a year to make up for the people emigrating from ShitShow Island.
That’s 350,000 coming in. Since Lowe’s plan is supposed to take five years, that would mean 1,750,000 in, while 1,900,000 left. £40 Billion and a civil war to cut the numbers by just 150,000. By the time their continued higher birthrates, and our higher death rates, ar factored in, by the time the five years were up, Britain would be even less white than it was at the start.
We native Brits would still be ‘reproducing’ at the rate of 1.4 children per woman, while the UK’s Pakistani community would still be clinging on to their current rate of 2.4. Yes, I believe their rate will keep dropping, and if Britain’s nationalists would stop masturbating over policy documents and set about having babies (and working on practical ways to encourage our communities to have babies), then that gap will be decreased.
But as long as it exists, we will continue to lose our homeland street by street, and nothing in Mr. Lowe’s paper is going to change that.
No doubt, when this year’s round of immigration protest mayhem does kick off, there will be even more clamour for “Mass Deportations Now”. But the most it will achieve is to get some of those who post the demand on social media locked up. None of this generally well-meant fantasy politics will change ANYTHING else.
What, then, will happen when it does “all go bang?” This is the only question that really matters; the only one where choosing the right answer – and taking action accordingly – will make a real difference.
Segregation and Tribalism
“We” will not be able to force out “them”, but neither will “they” be in any position to expel or conquer “us”. Going by the historical parallels, places like the former Yugoslavia as well as from hundreds of years of Irish history, the result will not be mass deportations or remigration, but segregation and tribalism.
That being the case, our best option is to stop shouting for the former, and to start working to make the most of the latter.
No significant numbers are going back any time soon. But the end of ‘tolerance’ - and of the apathy and security which have blocked all attempts to mobilise our people in their own defence – that’s now guaranteed.
The coming British troubles, even if they are nothing like as bad as Prof Betz warns or wants, will bring the end of the complacent, consumerist blindness when our people thought only in terms of ‘I’, ‘me’ and ‘mine’. In its place, a drastically new era: One in which our pronouns are “We”. “Us”. And “Ours”.
And that, my friends, not empty slogans or theory-packed policy documents, is where we begin the long road back!