Can We Return to Demographic Spring?Philosophers seek to explain the world. Our job is to repopulate it
The plummeting birth rate of white Britons and Americans reflects the worldwide crisis of the fast-approaching demographic winter. Having examined the problem and its civilisation-wrecking implications in my previous post, it is now time to look for solutions. Fortunately, a number of far-sighted countries have already made efforts to increase their birth rates, so it is possible to assess the impact of various measures. This makes it possible to design a programme which – if it could be fully implemented – would give those nations wise and healthy enough to do so a serious chance of avoiding the ageing and shrinking population disaster which is already engulfing Asian countries such as Japan and South Korea. The first six policies in this programme have already been implemented in at least one nation, so we have a fair idea of their likely impact. This experience already teaches us that disjointed efforts make very little difference. One-off bonuses especially produce only temporary upticks in the birth rate, which then drops back again rapidly once their impact wears off. Accordingly, this theoretical programme combines both incentives (”carrots”) and penalties (”sticks”) to achieve a sustained Total Fertility Rate (TFR) increase from below 1.5 to approach the 2.1 replacement level. Each measure alone would only raise TFR by a small percentage; their impact is collective. There is no single ‘silver bullet’ for a crisis of the scale we have already examined. We will then move on to two even more radical proposals, designed to undo the damage done by low birth rates since the 1970s. 1. Universal Child Allowance (Carrot) Provide a universal, tax-free monthly child allowance for every child until age 18, with a 50% bonus for third and subsequent children. Rationale: Reduces financial barriers to child-rearing, with bonuses incentivizing larger families. Expected Impact: Based on Poland’s 500+ programme, payments of $125 per child per month would likely increase TFR by ~0.1–0.2 If the USA gave up on elite foreign wars, it could of course afford to be much more generous. 2. Subsidised Childcare and Education (Carrot) Offer free or low-cost childcare and fully subsidised public education, including extracurricular activities, from age 1 to 18. Rationale: Addresses high childcare costs and education expenses. Implementation: Matching support should also be given to home-schoolers, in order to avoid this policy increasing state power in the education system Expected Impact: If capped at 5% of household income, boosts TFR by ~0.1, as seen in Nordic models. 3. Housing and Transport Support for Families (Carrot) Provide interest-free house purchase loans for families with two or more children, with 25% loan forgiveness per child born (up to 100% for four children). Provide help for large families to buy cars with larger seating capacity Rationale: High housing costs deter family expansion. Loan forgiveness incentivizes higher parity births. The problem of transporting more than two children in a conventional car was identified in Hungary as a disincentive to large families which must be addressed. The subsidy should only go to those buying locally-made vehicles. Expected Impact: Increases TFR by ~0.1–0.15, based on Hungary’s CSOK programme. This would be even higher if additional home-extension support is given for fifth children and beyond. 4. Tax Incentives for Larger Families (Carrot) Implement a sliding-scale tax reduction: 10% per child up to three children, 20% for four or more, capped at 50% total reduction. Offer lifetime tax benefits for parents raising three or more children to adulthood. Rationale: Long-term financial relief encourages larger families, unlike temporary bonuses that fade (e.g., Russia’s Maternity Capital). Implementation: Adjust tax codes, ensuring benefits scale with family size. Expected Impact: Increases TFR by ~0.05–0.1, based on France’s tax benefits. 5. Progressive Childless Tax (Stick) Introduce a progressive tax surcharge for childless individuals aged 25–45, with exemptions for medical infertility or economic hardship. Rationale: Creates a financial disincentive for remaining childless. Implementation: Administer through tax systems. Expected Impact: Assuming a tax penalty of 2% of income, increasing by 1% per year, capped at 10%, this is predicted to add ~0.1 to TFR. 6. Economic Penalties for Anti-Family Corporate Practices (Stick) Impose fines on companies with more than 100 employees that fail to provide family-friendly policies (e.g., leave, flexibility). Redirect fines to fund childcare programmes. Corporations should face even tougher penalties for encouraging employees to have abortions. Rationale: Penalises workplace cultures that deter parenthood. Implementation: Enforce through annual audits. Expected Impact: Boosts TFR by ~0.05. Judging by their impact in other countries, these policies would together raise the TFR to about 2.0, very close to the replacement threshold. To undo the damage done by fifty years of low rates, however, something even more radical is needed. Thanks for reading Nick Griffin Beyond the Pale! Subscribe for free and help spread the fact that “Griffin is back!” Fortunately, there are two further measures which would be completely game-changers: A total ban on abortion. As a ‘stick’ for those who find babies inconvenient, this would have an even bigger impact. Britain has murdered 10 million of its own babies since 1968. The USA saw 1,140,000 abortions in 2024, while 3,622,673 children were born. The complete unavailability of abortion in all but the genuinely hardest of cases would certainly encourage the greater use of contraception, but the raw figures are stunning: The abolition of abortion would increase the US birth rate by around 45%, to a TFR of 2.25 - more than all the other proposals put together. A government particularly concerned about the low birth rate might decide to appease liberals by leaving various ‘minorities’ free to murder their unborn children, but good Christians would be very uncomfortable with such lethal affirmative action! And one for America – Real Immigration Reform. Streamline immigration for young, family-oriented, white migrants, offering permanent residency to those who have two or more children within 10 years of arrival. Implementation: Rather than importing low-grade, welfare-dependent migrants from low IQ, high-crime societies and failed states, America only has to open its doors once more to young, Christian, Europeans, to enjoy a sustained flow of millions of hard-working, wealth-producing, law-abiding and highly assimilable migrants. Expected Impact: Would be limited only by the number of young Europeans who could be let in during any given period without adversely impacting wages. The policy, of course, would do immense damage to the nations losing so many bright young people, but the UK and most of Europe have already taken civilizational suicide pills through mass Islamic and African immigration, rampant abortion, feminism and native TFR’s of 1.0 or below. THE KICKER One final point: I am not for one moment saying that any of this will be done; only that this is what would have to be done to avoid Britain as we know it, and the American dream, ending in the same population crash which is set to destroy the rest of the modern world by the end of this century. For young readers, in the years ahead when you see that it is not done, remember that – while you cannot save society – you certainly can give your own family line a fighting chance of survival, and be part of the “faithful remnant” who will one day take and repopulate the lands left empty by the Great Dying. Because the solution to childlessness is really very simple: Have children! Thanks for reading Nick Griffin Beyond the Pale! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work. As for political action which CAN make a lasting difference, whatever, the ruling elite do, there’ll be plenty of material here about that in the weeks and months ahead, so subscribe, restack snd share this now! Many thanks. Note for American readers: I write articles for the American Free Press. Take a look and give this real American Christian patriot newspaper your support Nick Griffin Beyond the Pale is free today. But if you enjoyed this post, you can tell Nick Griffin Beyond the Pale that their writing is valuable by pledging a future subscription. You won't be charged unless they enable payments. |
