Cameron effectively annulled the referendum result
Cameron effectively annulled the referendum result
By Christopher Micheal Baska
Just wondered what everyone thinks of this. ?
If Boris Johnson looked downbeat yesterday, that is because he realises that he has lost.
Perhaps many Brexiters do not realise it yet, but they have actually lost, and it is all down to one man: David Cameron.
With one fell swoop yesterday at 9:15 am, Cameron effectively annulled
the referendum result, and simultaneously destroyed the political
careers of Boris Johnson, Michael Gove and leading Brexiters who cost
him so much anguish, not to mention his premiership.
How?
Throughout the campaign, Cameron had repeatedly said that a vote for
leave would lead to triggering Article 50 straight away. Whether
implicitly or explicitly, the image was clear: he would be giving that
notice under Article 50 the morning after a vote to leave. Whether that
was scaremongering or not is a bit moot now but, in the midst of the
sentimental nautical references of his speech yesterday, he quietly
abandoned that position and handed the responsibility over to his
successor.
And as the day wore on, the enormity of that step
started to sink in: the markets, Sterling, Scotland, the Irish border,
the Gibraltar border, the frontier at Calais, the need to continue
compliance with all EU regulations for a free market, re-issuing
passports, Brits abroad, EU citizens in Britain, the mountain of
legistlation to be torn up and rewritten ... the list grew and grew.
The referendum result is not binding. It is advisory. Parliament is not bound to commit itself in that same direction.
The Conservative party election that Cameron triggered will now have
one question looming over it: will you, if elected as party leader,
trigger the notice under Article 50?
Who will want to have the responsibility of all those ramifications and consequences on his/her head and shoulders?
Boris Johnson knew this yesterday, when he emerged subdued from his
home and was even more subdued at the press conference. He has been
out-maneouvered and check-mated.
If he runs for leadership of the
party, and then fails to follow through on triggering Article 50, then
he is finished. If he does not run and effectively abandons the field,
then he is finished. If he runs, wins and pulls the UK out of the EU,
then it will all be over - Scotland will break away, there will be
upheaval in Ireland, a recession ... broken trade agreements. Then he is
also finished. Boris Johnson knows all of this. When he acts like the
dumb blond it is just that: an act.
The Brexit leaders now have a result that they cannot use. For them, leadership of the Tory party has become a poison chalice.
When Boris Johnson said there was no need to trigger Article 50
straight away, what he really meant to say was "never". When Michael
Gove went on and on about "informal negotiations" ... why? why not the
formal ones straight away? ... he also meant not triggering the formal
departure. They both know what a formal demarche would mean: an
irreversible step that neither of them is prepared to take.
All
that remains is for someone to have the guts to stand up and say that
Brexit is unachievable in reality without an enormous amount of pain and
destruction, that cannot be borne. And David Cameron has put the onus
of making that statement on the heads of the people who led the Brexit
campaign.